Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 18.210482 21.193298 24.458775 28.291997 32.661044 37.478113 43.183646
2024-10-20 12.852384 16.796160 21.570350 27.741323 35.468816 44.784676 56.820678
2024-10-27 9.399606 13.497741 18.876374 26.378206 36.483369 49.523849 67.507802
2024-11-03 8.138522 12.607848 18.864172 28.128239 41.333633 59.286116 85.296332
2024-11-10 7.368086 12.184498 19.308205 30.403308 46.983694 70.515450 106.014088
2024-11-17 6.282566 11.058772 18.501971 30.658413 49.640971 77.672053 121.548993
2024-11-24 5.281870 9.868604 17.379689 30.206559 51.072058 83.032082 134.780253
2024-12-01 4.398136 8.706044 16.104973 29.289158 51.580813 86.916939 145.962369
2024-12-08 3.816069 7.967553 15.416474 29.213045 53.367437 92.850672 160.701275
2024-12-15 3.371695 7.403937 14.942478 29.417877 55.591826 99.602194 177.196607
2024-12-22 2.755234 6.392633 13.502952 27.696402 54.260343 100.285492 183.657356
2024-12-29 2.539458 6.162461 13.505129 28.627240 57.719197 109.338434 204.863694
2025-01-05 2.372282 6.035048 13.744088 30.144165 62.604216 121.624352 233.257898
2025-01-12 2.020688 5.435610 12.949101 29.549254 63.504523 127.004460 250.154773
2025-01-19 1.658210 4.732061 11.818075 28.103531 62.569151 128.914797 260.919899
2025-01-26 1.585193 4.726802 12.222832 29.956033 68.428137 144.053667 297.324726
2025-02-02 1.550705 4.814116 12.849467 32.363877 75.658808 162.381396 341.070311
2025-02-09 1.389140 4.526018 12.544768 32.633798 78.395000 172.103315 368.949005
2025-02-16 1.209287 4.145899 11.953242 32.155652 79.447818 178.515476 390.775741
2025-02-23 1.031961 3.730352 11.201149 31.184757 79.283619 182.387823 407.752213
2025-03-02 0.916878 3.478028 10.833613 31.104198 81.120234 190.549880 434.005015
2025-03-09 0.827147 3.285704 10.597030 31.320991 83.662558 200.392544 464.402162
2025-03-16 0.679480 2.859521 9.629664 29.498736 81.139310 199.030357 471.065829